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The questions nobody else lists

Put the big prediction markets side by side and something odd happens: they blur. The same election. The same central-bank meeting. The same famous league on the same Sunday. Different logos, one front page.

Now open your group chat.

That argument’s been running for three days — the derby, the final, the thing the whole office has picked a side on. Somebody’s sure. Somebody else has receipts. It’s the best market you’ve seen all week, and it isn’t listed anywhere.

There’s an assumption hiding under that, one most of us have never had a reason to question: if a question mattered, it would already be listed. The big venues list the big questions — so whatever they skip must not have counted.

It’s worth saying that out loud, because it falls apart the moment you look at it.

A list is an opinion

A market list looks like a fact of nature — as if somebody surveyed the whole world and wrote down everything worth asking. Nobody did. Every list gets written the same way: a venue opens, lists what its first crowd already argues about, and every venue after copies the list that’s already working. No conspiracy. That’s just how menus get made.

But run that copy loop for a few years and you get what we have now: a dozen places to trade the same twelve questions — one front page, written where its writers live, printed everywhere.

And the questions outside it? Not rejected. Never considered. The final that stops your feed for a week wasn’t weighed and found too small. It was never on the desk.

The famous questions are fine questions — they’re big for a reason. The quiet lie was never these matter. It was only these.

What a question actually needs

Strip a market down and it needs three things.

A real question. A day the answer lands — a settle date on the calendar, no take-backs. And people who care enough to argue before it does.

That’s the whole recipe. Nothing in it says the entire planet has to be watching. Nothing in it asks how famous the question is.

The badminton final qualifies. The cricket derby qualifies. Whether the rain beats the parade, whether the new station really opens this year, whether the champion goes back-to-back in a league most front pages couldn’t name — all of it qualifies. Your group chat has been sitting on listable markets for years. Nobody built the room.

The room, then

That’s what majjha.fun is for. Not another copy of the front page with new colors — a room for the questions the front pages skip. When one goes up, it gets exactly what the famous questions get: a number in the middle, a date the answer lands, and a record of who read it right. And a brand-new question doesn’t open onto silence, either — how a price shows up when the room is new is its own story.

The argument, moved in — two sides, and a number in the middle.

There’s no money in any of it, in or out. You play with Dots, and the payoff is the same one as always: being right, out loud — about the questions you actually know something about. Not the twelve everyone lists. Yours.

The front page was never going to add your question. It doesn’t know your street, your league, your Tuesday-night final — and it doesn’t have to, because you do.

So next time the chat lights up and somebody swears they know — you’ll know where that argument can finally end.

Bring the argument.

— majjha